PATRIOTS GAME CHANGER: TE Scott Chandler. For the last 5 years we’ve seen Chandler kill the Pats every time they travel to Buffalo, and this is the first time he’s squaring off against his former team. Rex Ryan admittedly has not been able to stop Rob Gronkowski in any of his attempts as the Jets head coach, and even with a top-flight defense in Buffalo Gronk should cause matchup nightmares again. We saw Chandler score an easy 1-yard TD last week against the Steelers (the Patriots lined up with Gronk and Chandler both out wide to the left, and Chandler had a free release on a quick out when Gronk set a pick), and I expect that we can see a lot more of the same this week against the Bills. With Gronk drawing double-teams and safety help for most of the game, it should give Chandler plenty of opportunities to get open for some easy targets and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him score and haul in at least 4-5 catches. LeGarrette Blount is also coming back this week, and if the Patriots can use him and Dion Lewis to be successful in the run game again it should keep the Bills defense a little more modest with its pass rush/blitz schemes.
FANTASY FLOP OF THE WEEK: Eddie Lacy. I should just say that I think Lacy may finish 2015 as the highest scoring RB in fantasy, but I don’t think this is a good situation for him in week 2. He hasn’t fared well against Seattle (averaging just 3.5 yards per touch in 2 games in 2014.) and neither has his QB, Aaron Rodgers. Since 2012 Rodgers is winless and has thrown just 2 TDs in 3 games against the Seahawks. Granted, all of those games were in Seattle, but this is Rodgers’ game to win. He’s in front of his home crowd at Lambeau and needs to get the Seattle monkey off his back. He’s reunited with old friend James Jones, and together with Randall Cobb and Davante Adams the Packers air game should be pretty close to the Jordy Nelson version we expected to see this year. Lacy has proven to be a valuable asset in the passing game, however he has just 11 yards on 3 catches versus the Seahawks to go along with his 107 rushing yards on 33 carries with zero TDs. The Seahawks have allowed the 6th fewest points to RBs, and continue to have a tough physical defense, despite the absence of Kam Chancellor and a high scoring loss to the Rams in week 1.
FANTASY SLEEPER OF THE WEEK: Shane Vereen. The Giants are playing a Falcons team that just allowed the most fantasy points to RBs in week one. Sure, I’ll concede that a lot of those “points allowed” are thanks to 3 cheap TDs by DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews, but its a defense that also gave up 126 yards on 12 total touches (5 carries for 50 yards and 7 catches for 76) to Darren Sproles. The New York backfield platoon actually has a very similar makeup to that of the Eagles, and Shane Vereen’s role in New York is almost a direct parallel to Sproles’ in Philadelphia. He had 60 yards on 7 touches last week against Dallas, and like Sproles he averaged over 10 yards per catch with 46 yards on 4 receptions. While Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams are the straight ahead power backs, Vereen’s change-of-pace role could gash the Falcons D for the second week in a row. Don’t be shocked to see Vereen go for over 100 yards, and if you’re in a PPR league he can give you added value with the potential for 6 or more catches.
LOCK OF THE WEEK: Tennessee (-2) @ Cleveland. I am far from anointing the Titans as contenders, but they stomped all over Tampa Bay last week. Marcus Mariota (13 of 16 for 209 yards) set a rookie record, throwing 4 TDs in the first half. Bishop Sankey looked like a legitimate NFL running back with 84 yards on 14 touches and 2 total TDs. The Bucs were embarassed 42-14 at home, and even though both teams will struggle this season, Tennessee looks like it has some promising young weapons. On the flipside, the Browns looked pretty pathetic despite having an early 7-0 lead. They allowed Chris Ivory to score twice on 20 carries for 91 yards, while Isaiah Crowell and Duke Johnson combined for just 42 yards on 19 carries. Josh McCown is concussed and Johnny Manziel still looks shaky, and ultimately the Jets were able to capitalize scoring points off of turnovers en route to a 31-10 victory. I think a field goal is a laughable spread in this one based off how the teams performed last week, and I have the Titans winning 27-13.