Quarter Season Rant
My patience is wearing thin with the “leaders” of this team. I have more than enough patience with all of the Bruins’ young rookies; frankly their growing pains haven’t been all that painful. Jake DeBrusk (5G, 7A) has shown real promise, and, aside from a recent injury, Anders Bjork (3G, 6A) has shown a knack for scoring. Defensively, Charlie McAvoy (2G, 9A) is logging serious minutes (23:29 ATOI) and improving his game on a seemingly nightly basis.
David Krejci has played in only half of the team’s 22 games to date, and is injured yet again. He’s somehow managed to produce at almost a point-per-game pace (3G, 6A) but when he’s been in the lineup his play has been inconsistent at best. Krejci has 2G and 6A in 7 wins, and has just 1G and 0A in 4 losses; he has also been held scoreless in six of eleven games. His lack of ability to stay in the lineup (or have any sense of urgency to remain in it) is a huge concern, and he has routinely had slow starts when coming back from injury.
Zdeno Chara has at least been in the lineup every game, however his inconsistency issues are on par with those of Krejci. He has 2G and 4A (just over half that of his rookie counterpart), and all six of his points have come in just three games. While Chara is carrying a +6 rating on the season, he is a +12 in 10 wins and a -6 in 12 losses. The 40-year old Captain isn’t expected to be one of the team’s leading scorers, but you also can’t expect the team to be consistent if its leader isn’t.
And finally, that brings me to Tuukka Rask. Lately there has been a lot of talk about which goalie to play; Tuukka or Dobby? In fact, it’s not ALL about the goaltending, but also how the team plays in front of each netminder. Well, here’s everything you need to know. All indisputable facts. All in black and white.
- In 13 starts Tuukka has 3 wins, a 2.91 GAA and a .899 SV%. Dobby has more than doubled that win total in just 9 starts, and has not lost a game in regulation.
- Rask’s 2.91 GAA is up 0.65 points from his career average of 2.26, a rank that puts him first amongst all active goalies ahead of the likes of Jonathan Quick, Braden Holtby, and Henrik Lundvist
- Tuukka’s career SV% is .922. 15 goalies have a SV% of .920 or better this season, none of which are named Tuukka Rask: Anton Khudobin is 3rd in the NHL with a .932 SV%
- The Bruins have only scored more than 3 goals in 6 out of 22 games (27.3%), doing so four times for Dobby and just twice for Tuukka.
- In Tuukka’s 13 starts the team is averaging 2.15 goals per game. In Khudobin’s 9 starts it is averaging 3.55 goals per game, a whopping 1.4 goals per game bump!
- In the 11 of Tuukka’s starts (84.6%) when the Bruins have scored 3 goals or less, he has 1 win. In the 5 games (55.6%) that Khudobin has gotten the same treatment, he has 4 wins.
- In the 5 seasons from 2009-2014 Tuukka had a GAA of 2.05 or lower 4 times while averaging only 36 starts per year. In the last 3 seasons he has averaged over 64 starts and his GAA jumped from 2.04 to 2.30 to 2.56 before finally readjusting to a 2.23 in 2016-17.
So yeah, those numbers speak for themselves, but allow me to shed some light on some of the reasons I think we are seeing these trends. First, I don’t think Tuukka was truly as good as his numbers would lead you to believe in his first few seasons. Why? As I previously stated he was averaging just 36 starts per year, and just 29 from ’09-’12 as a backup to Tim Thomas. The burden wasn’t on his shoulders to be the go-to guy, and maybe the league hadn’t figured him out yet. His mechanics and positioning haven’t changed from 2009 to today, but it seems like his confidence (and maybe more importantly his health) has.
Secondly, the team in front of him has changed dramatically since those Cup years. Now, this “different” team is the same one in front of Dobby, but we are just looking at the impact on Tuukka right now. Andrew Ference was a +24 in 7 seasons with the Bruins, he left after 2013. Johnny Boychuk was a +88 in 6 seasons with the Bruins, he left after 2014. Dennis Seidenberg was a +54 in 7 seasons with the Bruins, he left after 2016. All three defenseman were absolutely essential in the B’s Stanley Cup victory in 2011; they were vital pieces of the team’s continued success under Claude Julien in the subsequent 3 years, with both Thomas and Rask in net.
After Chara, the Bruins defensive corps has been a revolving door for the last 3+ years. With fellow tenured blue-liners Adam McQuaid and Kevan Miller frequently on the injury list, we’ve seen younger less experienced players come and go (most notably Dougie Hamilton and Colin Miller), and that trend has not yet been resolved. I do feel that Brandon Carlo and McAvoy are big step in the right direction, however.
A combination of fatigue, injuries, unfamiliar faces and poor results has gotten us to where we are today…with many more questions than answers. Hopefully all three of the aforementioned slackers can figure it out and get going, but until then the Bruins need to search for answers elsewhere.